Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.005527 0.005839 0.006162 0.006523 0.006915 0.007329 0.007801
2026-02-01 0.005091 0.005556 0.006062 0.006656 0.007336 0.008098 0.009020
2026-02-08 0.004736 0.005279 0.005888 0.006627 0.007507 0.008531 0.009830
2026-02-15 0.004481 0.005079 0.005766 0.006622 0.007673 0.008941 0.010612
2026-02-22 0.004228 0.004855 0.005590 0.006527 0.007707 0.009171 0.011167
2026-03-01 0.004017 0.004666 0.005438 0.006442 0.007735 0.009382 0.011698
2026-03-08 0.003872 0.004544 0.005359 0.006436 0.007856 0.009709 0.012397
2026-03-15 0.003655 0.004323 0.005141 0.006238 0.007707 0.009663 0.012566
2026-03-22 0.003556 0.004243 0.005097 0.006261 0.007849 0.010011 0.013315
2026-03-29 0.003489 0.004200 0.005095 0.006334 0.008059 0.010464 0.014250
2026-04-05 0.003372 0.004087 0.004997 0.006273 0.008076 0.010637 0.014769
2026-04-12 0.003286 0.004011 0.004942 0.006266 0.008165 0.010918 0.015476
2026-04-19 0.003187 0.003914 0.004857 0.006213 0.008190 0.011106 0.016055
2026-04-26 0.003158 0.003910 0.004897 0.006338 0.008478 0.011712 0.017383
2026-05-03 0.003078 0.003833 0.004834 0.006311 0.008536 0.011963 0.018125
2026-05-10 0.003011 0.003771 0.004788 0.006306 0.008627 0.012267 0.018988
2026-05-17 0.002920 0.003673 0.004689 0.006218 0.008581 0.012345 0.019441
2026-05-24 0.002837 0.003584 0.004598 0.006138 0.008546 0.012435 0.019922
2026-05-31 0.002782 0.003533 0.004559 0.006133 0.008626 0.012725 0.020813
2026-06-07 0.002674 0.003403 0.004405 0.005948 0.008408 0.012487 0.020638
2026-06-14 0.002634 0.003369 0.004386 0.005969 0.008526 0.012839 0.021689
2026-06-21 0.002610 0.003357 0.004399 0.006038 0.008724 0.013347 0.023120
2026-06-28 0.002551 0.003292 0.004333 0.005981 0.008708 0.013465 0.023727